Analyzing Trends: Australian Home Prices for 2024 and 2025

Property costs across the majority of the country will continue to increase in the next financial year, led by sizeable gains in Perth, Adelaide, Brisbane and Sydney, a brand-new Domain report has anticipated.

Home prices in the significant cities are expected to increase between 4 and 7 percent, with system to increase by 3 to 5 percent.

By the end of the 2025 financial year, the typical house rate will have surpassed $1.7 million in Sydney and $800,000 in Perth, according to the Domain Projection Report. Adelaide and Brisbane will be on the cusp of cracking the $1 million typical house rate, if they haven't currently hit 7 figures.

The real estate market in the Gold Coast is expected to reach brand-new highs, with rates forecasted to increase by 3 to 6 percent, while the Sunlight Coast is expected to see an increase of 2 to 5 percent. Dr. Nicola Powell, the chief economic expert at Domain, kept in mind that the expected development rates are relatively moderate in a lot of cities compared to previous strong upward trends. She discussed that rates are still increasing, albeit at a slower than in the previous financial. The cities of Perth and Adelaide are exceptions to this pattern, with Adelaide halted, and Perth revealing no signs of decreasing.

Rental costs for homes are expected to increase in the next year, reaching all-time highs in Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth, the Gold Coast, and the Sunlight Coast.

Regional units are slated for a general rate increase of 3 to 5 per cent, which "states a lot about affordability in terms of purchasers being steered towards more budget-friendly property types", Powell said.
Melbourne's residential or commercial property market stays an outlier, with expected moderate annual development of up to 2 per cent for homes. This will leave the median house cost at in between $1.03 million and $1.05 million, marking the slowest and most inconsistent healing in the city's history.

The Melbourne real estate market experienced a prolonged downturn from 2022 to 2023, with the typical home price visiting 6.3% - a substantial $69,209 decrease - over a period of 5 successive quarters. According to Powell, even with an optimistic 2% growth forecast, the city's home prices will only handle to recover about half of their losses.
Home prices in Canberra are expected to continue recuperating, with a predicted mild growth ranging from 0 to 4 percent.

"According to Powell, the capital city continues to face challenges in accomplishing a steady rebound and is anticipated to experience an extended and sluggish speed of development."

With more rate rises on the horizon, the report is not encouraging news for those attempting to save for a deposit.

According to Powell, the implications vary depending on the kind of purchaser. For existing house owners, postponing a decision may result in increased equity as costs are forecasted to climb up. On the other hand, newbie purchasers may need to set aside more funds. Meanwhile, Australia's housing market is still struggling due to cost and payment capability issues, worsened by the continuous cost-of-living crisis and high interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept the official cash rate at a decade-high of 4.35 per cent considering that late in 2015.

According to the Domain report, the minimal schedule of brand-new homes will stay the main aspect affecting property values in the near future. This is due to a prolonged shortage of buildable land, sluggish construction permit issuance, and elevated building expenses, which have restricted housing supply for an extended period.

A silver lining for potential homebuyers is that the upcoming stage 3 tax reductions will put more money in people's pockets, thereby increasing their ability to take out loans and ultimately, their buying power across the country.

According to Powell, the housing market in Australia may receive an additional increase, although this might be reversed by a decline in the acquiring power of customers, as the expense of living boosts at a quicker rate than incomes. Powell cautioned that if wage growth remains stagnant, it will result in a continued struggle for cost and a subsequent reduction in demand.

In regional Australia, house and unit costs are expected to grow reasonably over the next 12 months, although the outlook varies between states.

"At the same time, a growing population propped up by strong migration continues to be the wind in the sail of home rate development," Powell said.

The present overhaul of the migration system could lead to a drop in demand for local property, with the intro of a brand-new stream of competent visas to eliminate the incentive for migrants to live in a local location for 2 to 3 years on going into the country.
This will imply that "an even greater proportion of migrants will flock to cities searching for much better job prospects, thus dampening need in the local sectors", Powell stated.

According to her, far-flung areas adjacent to metropolitan centers would retain their appeal for individuals who can no longer manage to reside in the city, and would likely experience a surge in popularity as a result.